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Serie A
Hellas Verona logo
Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 27, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Fiorentina logo

Hellas Verona
0 - 3
Fiorentina


Doig (24'), Faraoni (34'), Braaf (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Barak (12'), Cabral (38'), Biraghi (89')
Julio (27'), Barak (29'), Amrabat (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

All competitions
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, February 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Braga
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Hellas Verona 1-1 Fiorentina

 The ultimate 'Jekyll and Hyde' team, in terms of their contrasting fortunes in Serie A and in Europe, Fiorentina can barely buy a goal domestically yet score freely in the Conference League. Up against Verona's once-suspect defence, which has improved dramatically since the winter break, they are likely to find the going tough so may take only one point back to Florence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawFiorentina
26.62% (-0.064 -0.06) 26.28% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09) 47.11% (0.155 0.16)
Both teams to score 49.42% (0.215 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45% (0.30399999999999 0.3)54.55% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (0.252 0.25)75.9% (-0.251 -0.25)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.3% (0.111 0.11)35.7% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.53% (0.114 0.11)72.47% (-0.113 -0.11)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (0.202 0.2)23.15% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.98% (0.295 0.3)57.03% (-0.294 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 26.62%
    Fiorentina 47.11%
    Draw 26.27%
Hellas VeronaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.42% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 4.39% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.51% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 26.62%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 12.09% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.85% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-3 @ 4.44% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.31% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.025 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.58% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 47.11%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina

Hellas Verona
27.2%
Draw
28.5%
Fiorentina
44.4%
151
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Fiorentina
2-0
Hellas Verona
Ikone (13'), Gonzalez (90')
Mandragora (23')
Mar 6, 2022 2pm
Fiorentina
1-1
Hellas Verona
Piatek (10')
Italiano (86')
Caprari (20' pen.)
Gunter (37'), Simeone (56'), Ceccherini (72'), Bessa (82')
Dec 22, 2021 5.30pm
Hellas Verona
1-1
Fiorentina
Lasagna (17')
Caprari (46'), Ilic (47')
Castrovilli (81')
Terzic (84')
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Hellas Verona
1-2
Fiorentina
Salcedo (72')
Gunter (68'), Sturaro (90+1')
Vlahovic (45+2' pen.), Caceres (65')
Bonaventura (19'), Kouame (90+3'), Martinez (90+5')
Dec 19, 2020 2pm
Fiorentina
1-1
Hellas Verona
Vlahovic (19' pen.)
Bonaventura (14'), Julio (69'), Prandelli (75')
Veloso (8' pen.)
Dimarco (27'), Juric (32'), Ceccherini (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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