Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 72.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 10.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.24%) and 3-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Hellas Verona |
72.15% ( -0.02) | 17.72% ( 0.01) | 10.13% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.17% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.19% ( -0.03) | 44.81% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.83% ( -0.02) | 67.16% ( 0.02) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.97% ( -0.02) | 11.03% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.66% ( -0.03) | 35.34% ( 0.02) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.64% ( -0) | 50.35% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.1% ( -0) | 84.9% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Hellas Verona |
2-0 @ 13.49% 1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.92% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.26% 3-1 @ 6.81% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.75% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 72.14% | 1-1 @ 8.4% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.18% Other @ 0.59% Total : 17.72% | 0-1 @ 3.81% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 10.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 19 |
11 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
12 | Torino | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
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