Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Torino0 - 1Fiorentina
We said: Torino 1-1 Fiorentina
Although Torino have begun to falter, they have still lost only one Serie A home game this season, against top-five contenders Lazio. So, if the hosts can keep in-form Fiorentina at arm's length and avoid defensive mistakes, a precious point could be theirs. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 52.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Torino had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fiorentina in this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Fiorentina |
22.3% ( -0.09) | 24.92% ( -0.39) | 52.78% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 49.11% ( 1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
