Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 3

Sep 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
4 - 0
Fiorentina

Thuram (23'), Martinez (53', 73'), Calhanoglu (58' pen.)
Barella (45+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ranieri (39'), Italiano (60+60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cagliari 0-2 Inter Milan
Monday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Rapid Vienna
Thursday, August 31 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 Fiorentina

Both teams have started productively this season, so several goals could be on the cards - if not quite the total of seven shared out in last autumn's thriller. Inter's squad is more settled than Fiorentina's, which has been in flux right up until deadline day, and they should start September with a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Fiorentina
41.83% ( 0.48)	25.65% ( 0.38)	32.52% ( -0.86)

Both teams to score 54.66% (

-1.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.71% (

-1.88)

49.29% (

1.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.65% (

-1.72)

71.34% (

1.72)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.6% (

-0.58)

23.4% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.62% (

-0.85)

57.38% (

0.86)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.36% (

-1.46)

28.64% (

1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.55% (

-1.87)

64.45% (

1.87)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 41.83%

Fiorentina 32.52%

Draw 25.65%

Inter Milan	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.83%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.52%