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Monza
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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Fiorentina logo

Atalanta
1 - 2
Fiorentina

Zapata (65' pen.)
Maehle (31'), Zapata (45+2'), Gosens (76'), Freuler (86'), Luis Palomino (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vlahovic (33' pen., 49' pen.)
Bonaventura (45+2'), Julio (56'), Milenkovic (74'), Odriozola (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 66.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 14.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
66.54%19.41%14.05%
Both teams to score 50.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.6%42.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.19%64.81%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.15%11.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.87%37.12%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.82%42.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.41%78.59%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 66.53%
    Fiorentina 14.05%
    Draw 19.41%
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
2-0 @ 11.36%
1-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 8.08%
3-1 @ 6.98%
4-0 @ 4.31%
4-1 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 3.01%
5-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 1.59%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 66.53%
1-1 @ 9.2%
0-0 @ 5%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 19.41%
0-1 @ 4.32%
1-2 @ 3.97%
0-2 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.22%
1-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 14.05%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Fiorentina

Atalanta BC
77.0%
Draw
13.3%
Fiorentina
9.7%
113
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Fiorentina
2-3
Atalanta
Vlahovic (57', 66')
Pezzella (32'), Amrabat (53'), Milenkovic (72')
Zapata (13', 40'), Ilicic (70' pen.)
Romero (23')
Dec 13, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 11
Atalanta
3-0
Fiorentina
Gosens (44'), Malinovskiy (55'), Toloi (63')
Romero (67')

Amrabat (54'), Ribery (80')
Feb 8, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 23
Fiorentina
1-2
Atalanta
Chiesa (32')
Castrovilli (16'), Vlahovic (60')
Zapata (49'), Malinovskiy (72')
Zapata (27'), Gollini (33')
Jan 15, 2020 2pm
Round of 16
Fiorentina
2-1
Atalanta
Cutrone (11'), Lirola (84')
Pezzella (45'), Henrique (81')
Pezzella (70')
Ilicic (67')
Caldara (34'), Djimsiti (50')
Sep 22, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 4
Atalanta
2-2
Fiorentina
Ilicic (84'), Castagne (95')
Pasalic (8'), de Roon (76')
Palomino (24' og.), Ribery (66')
Pezzella (1'), Lirola (46'), Milenkovic (53'), Boateng (88'), Dragowski (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta22144448252346
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Fiorentina21106535221336
7AC Milan219753223934
8Bologna2181033327634
9Roma228683328530
10Torino226882326-326
11Udinese2275102534-926
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Como2257102736-922
14Empoli224992129-821
15CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
16Parma2248102839-1120
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2262142548-2320
18Lecce2255121540-2520
19VeneziaVenezia2237122035-1516
20Monza2227132033-1313


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