Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.62%) and 0-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli |
18.3% | 20.76% | 60.94% |
Both teams to score 56.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.65% | 40.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.28% | 62.72% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.43% | 35.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.66% | 72.34% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.2% | 12.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.89% | 39.11% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 5% 1-0 @ 4.71% 2-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 1.77% 3-1 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.67% Total : 18.3% | 1-1 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 5.14% 0-0 @ 4.55% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.76% | 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-2 @ 9.62% 0-1 @ 9.36% 1-3 @ 6.82% 0-3 @ 6.59% 2-3 @ 3.52% 1-4 @ 3.5% 0-4 @ 3.39% 2-4 @ 1.81% 1-5 @ 1.44% 0-5 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.55% Total : 60.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 28 |
2 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
3 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
5 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
7 | AC Milan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |