Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.62%) and 0-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli |
18.3% | 20.76% | 60.94% |
Both teams to score 56.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.65% | 40.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.28% | 62.72% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.43% | 35.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.66% | 72.34% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.2% | 12.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.89% | 39.11% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 5% 1-0 @ 4.71% 2-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 1.77% 3-1 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.67% Total : 18.3% | 1-1 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 5.14% 0-0 @ 4.55% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.76% | 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-2 @ 9.62% 0-1 @ 9.36% 1-3 @ 6.82% 0-3 @ 6.59% 2-3 @ 3.52% 1-4 @ 3.5% 0-4 @ 3.39% 2-4 @ 1.81% 1-5 @ 1.44% 0-5 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.55% Total : 60.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 12 |
2 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
3 | Torino | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
4 | Inter Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
5 | Udinese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
6 | Napoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
7 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Lazio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
9 | Roma | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
10 | Como | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
11 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
12 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
13 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
16 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
19 | Monza | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
20 | CagliariCagliari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 2 |
> Serie A Full Table |