Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 18, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Genoa1 - 2Fiorentina
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 33.39% | 26.39% | 40.23% |
| Both teams to score 52.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
