Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Bologna |
40.13% | 24.74% | 35.13% |
Both teams to score 58.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.37% | 44.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.01% | 66.99% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.8% | 22.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.39% | 55.61% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.17% | 24.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.59% | 59.41% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Bologna |
2-1 @ 8.7% 1-0 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.13% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 8.05% 0-1 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.35% 1-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |