Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 24, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Genoa1 - 0Cagliari
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Cagliari |
| 44.35% | 26.19% | 29.47% |
| Both teams to score 51.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.34% | 52.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.69% | 74.31% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.36% | 23.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.27% | 57.73% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.54% | 32.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.02% | 68.98% |
| Score Analysis |
Genoa 44.34%
Cagliari 29.47%
Draw 26.18%
| Genoa | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 4.32% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.8% Total : 44.34% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.67% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.63% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 4.86% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.47% |
How you voted: Genoa vs Cagliari
Genoa
63.6%Draw
24.2%Cagliari
12.1%66
