Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 19, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan3 - 1Empoli
We said: Inter Milan 3-0 Empoli
In 16 previous top-tier meetings at San Siro, these sides have never before produced a draw, with 14 wins for Inter and two for their Tuscan counterparts. Empoli would gladly take one point on Sunday, but the Nerazzurri are a class apart and should cruise to victory over ailing opponents. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 72.93%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 10.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Empoli |
72.93% ( 0.18) | 17.02% ( -0.08) | 10.05% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.22% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.1% ( 0.11) | 41.9% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.69% ( 0.1) | 64.3% ( -0.1) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.95% ( 0.07) | 10.05% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.86% ( 0.17) | 33.14% ( -0.16) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.38% ( -0.12) | 48.62% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.32% ( -0.09) | 83.68% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Inter Milan 72.91%
Empoli 10.05%
Draw 17.02%
| Inter Milan | Draw | Empoli |
| 2-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0)6-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 72.91% | 1-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.69% Total : 17.02% | 0-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 10.05% |
How you voted: Inter Milan vs Empoli
Inter Milan
92.9%Draw
7.1%Empoli
0.0%70
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Empoli
0-3
Inter Milan
Apr 1, 2024 7.45pm
Apr 23, 2023 11.30am
Jan 23, 2023 7.45pm
