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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lecce logo

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Lecce

Mkhitaryan (29'), Martinez (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Inter Milan
Sunday, February 26 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce

Inter's prowess on home soil should see them overcome their latest setback of an inconsistent season - they should also be fired up in response to criticism for last week's showing. Lecce could be vulnerable at the back without the inimitable Baschirotto, so Lautaro and Lukaku can get back on the scoresheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 71.52%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 10.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.84%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Inter Milan in this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawLecce
71.52% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02) 18.21% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 10.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 43.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)46.55% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.18% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)68.82% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.32% (-0.012 -0.01)11.68% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.23% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)36.77% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.81% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)51.19% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.53%85.47%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 71.51%
    Lecce 10.27%
    Draw 18.21%
Inter MilanDrawLecce
2-0 @ 13.78%
1-0 @ 12.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.23%
3-1 @ 6.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 2.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 71.51%
1-1 @ 8.6% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 18.21%
0-1 @ 4.01% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 2.88% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 10.27%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Lecce

Inter Milan
87.0%
Draw
6.5%
Lecce
6.5%
77
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 7.45pm
Lecce
1-2
Inter Milan
Ceesay (48')
Baschirotto (32'), Blin (82'), Colombo (87'), Hjulmand (90+5')
Lukaku (2'), Dumfries (90+4')
Brozovic (55'), Darmian (63')
Jan 19, 2020 2pm
Lecce
1-1
Inter Milan
Mancosu (77')
Donati (21'), Meccariello (93')
Bastoni (72')
Candreva (32'), Valero (88')
Aug 26, 2019 7.45pm
Inter Milan
4-0
Lecce
Brozovic (21'), Sensi (24'), Lukaku (60'), Candreva (84')
Martinez (40')

Petriccione (38'), Lapadula (52')
Farias (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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