Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 71.52%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 10.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.84%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Inter Milan in this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Lecce |
71.52% ( -0.02) | 18.21% ( 0.01) | 10.27% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 43.11% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.45% ( -0.02) | 46.55% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.18% ( -0.02) | 68.82% ( 0.02) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.32% ( -0.01) | 11.68% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.23% ( -0.03) | 36.77% ( 0.03) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.81% ( -0) | 51.19% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.53% | 85.47% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Lecce |
2-0 @ 13.78% 1-0 @ 12.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.87% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.23% 3-1 @ 6.61% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.55% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 71.51% | 1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 18.21% | 0-1 @ 4.01% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 10.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |