Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 25

Mar 5, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Lecce

Mkhitaryan (29'), Martinez (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Inter Milan
Sunday, February 26 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce

Inter's prowess on home soil should see them overcome their latest setback of an inconsistent season - they should also be fired up in response to criticism for last week's showing. Lecce could be vulnerable at the back without the inimitable Baschirotto, so Lautaro and Lukaku can get back on the scoresheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 71.52%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 10.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.84%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Inter Milan in this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Lecce
71.52% ( -0.02)	18.21% ( 0.01)	10.27% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 43.11% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.45% (

-0.02)

46.55% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.18% (

-0.02)

68.82% (

0.02)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.32% (

-0.01)

11.68% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.23% (

-0.03)

36.77% (

0.03)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.81% (

-0)

51.19% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.53%

85.47%

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 71.51%

Lecce 10.27%

Draw 18.21%

Inter Milan	Draw	Lecce
2-0 @ 13.78% 1-0 @ 12.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.87% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.23% 3-1 @ 6.61% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.55% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 71.51%	1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 18.21%	0-1 @ 4.01% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 10.27%