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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 11, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Roma logo

Lecce
1 - 1
Roma

Ibanez (7' og.)
Espeto (16'), Colombo (52'), Gonzalez (62'), Hjulmand (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dybala (17' pen.)
Ibanez (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cremonese 0-2 Lecce
Saturday, February 4 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Empoli
Saturday, February 4 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Roma

Only three teams have returned from Via del Mare with maximum points this season, so Lecce should prove a tough nut to crack for in-form Roma. Indeed, a low-scoring draw could be on the cards in this tussle between two well-drilled sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
LecceDrawRoma
28.18% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 26.88%44.94% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.05% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)55.95% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.95% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)77.05% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.82% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)35.18% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.06% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)71.93% (0.035000000000011 0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)24.8% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.62% (0.012999999999998 0.01)59.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 28.18%
    Roma 44.93%
    Draw 26.87%
LecceDrawRoma
1-0 @ 9.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 6.64% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.31% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 28.18%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 8.72% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 12.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.94% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 44.93%

How you voted: Lecce vs Roma

Lecce
14.4%
Draw
16.7%
Roma
68.9%
90
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
Roma
2-1
Lecce
Smalling (6'), Dybala (48' pen.)
Espeto (39')
Hjulmand (22')
Jan 20, 2022 8pm
Final
Roma
3-1
Lecce
Kumbulla (40'), Abraham (54'), Shomurodov (81')
Afena-Gyan (38'), Ibanez (71'), Abraham (76')
Calabresi (14')
Listkowski (12'), Johann Helgason (44'), Di Mariano (45+1'), Gargiulo (60')
Gargiulo (62')
Feb 23, 2020 5pm
Roma
4-0
Lecce
Under (13'), Mkhitaryan (37'), Dzeko (69'), Kolarov (80')
Mancini (49')
Sep 29, 2019 2pm
Lecce
0-1
Roma

Lucioni (79'), Rispoli (84')
Dzeko (56')
Pellegrini (19'), Mkhitaryan (25'), Smalling (49'), Cristante (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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