Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 11, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lecce1 - 1Roma
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cremonese 0-2 Lecce
Saturday, February 4 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, February 4 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Lecce 1-1 Roma
Only three teams have returned from Via del Mare with maximum points this season, so Lecce should prove a tough nut to crack for in-form Roma. Indeed, a low-scoring draw could be on the cards in this tussle between two well-drilled sides. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Roma |
28.18% ( -0.03) | 26.88% | 44.94% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.75% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.05% ( -0.02) | 55.95% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.95% ( -0.01) | 77.05% ( 0.01) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.82% ( -0.03) | 35.18% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.06% ( -0.03) | 71.93% ( 0.04) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.2% ( 0.01) | 24.8% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.62% ( 0.01) | 59.37% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Lecce 28.18%
Roma 44.93%
Draw 26.87%
| Lecce | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.76% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.31% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 28.18% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0)Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 44.93% |
How you voted: Lecce vs Roma
Lecce
14.4%Draw
16.7%Roma
68.9%90
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 20, 2022 8pm
Final
Roma
3-1
Lecce
Calabresi (14')
Listkowski (12'), Johann Helgason (44'), Di Mariano (45+1'), Gargiulo (60')
Gargiulo (62')
Listkowski (12'), Johann Helgason (44'), Di Mariano (45+1'), Gargiulo (60')
Gargiulo (62')
Feb 23, 2020 5pm
Sep 29, 2019 2pm
