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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Spezia Calcio logo

Inter Milan
3 - 0
Spezia

Martinez (35'), Calhanoglu (52'), Correa (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

Last Six:
Last Game: Lecce 1-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, August 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Spezia

Last Six:
Last Game: Spezia 1-0 Empoli
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Spezia

 Almost invulnerable on home soil in recent years, Inter are unlikely to yield to such modest opponents as Spezia, even if sealing last week's win was a struggle. The Nerazzurri have averaged two goals a game over their last six matches, including pre-season, which highlights their fearsome attacking potential. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 74.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 10.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 3-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSpezia
74.4% (0.925 0.92) 15.23% (-0.441 -0.44) 10.37% (-0.48 -0.48)
Both teams to score 54.54% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.05% (0.753 0.75)31.95% (-0.751 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.49% (0.875 0.88)53.51% (-0.874 -0.87)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.71% (0.363 0.36)7.28% (-0.3619 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.64% (0.941 0.94)26.36% (-0.94 -0.94)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.83% (-0.328 -0.33)41.17% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.29% (-0.295 -0.29)77.71% (0.29600000000001 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 74.39%
    Spezia 10.37%
    Draw 15.23%
Inter MilanDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 10.28% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 8.98% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.85% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-0 @ 5.88% (0.198 0.2)
4-1 @ 5.22% (0.13 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.08% (0.159 0.16)
5-1 @ 2.74% (0.118 0.12)
4-2 @ 2.32% (0.037 0.04)
6-0 @ 1.35% (0.093 0.09)
5-2 @ 1.21% (0.042 0.04)
6-1 @ 1.2% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 74.39%
1-1 @ 6.97% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 15.23%
1-2 @ 3.09% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-1 @ 2.66% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.18% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 0.92% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 10.37%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Spezia

Inter Milan
85.7%
Draw
7.8%
Spezia
6.5%
77
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 6pm
Spezia
1-3
Inter Milan
Maggiore (88')
Bastoni (10'), Nikolaou (86')
Brozovic (31'), Martinez (73'), Sanchez (90+3')
Dec 1, 2021 5.30pm
Inter Milan
2-0
Spezia
Gagliardini (36'), Martinez (58' pen.)
Martinez (44')

Manaj (31'), Kiwior (57')
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
Spezia
1-1
Inter Milan
Farias (12')
Marchizza (62'), Estevez (89')
Perisic (39')
Dec 20, 2020 2pm
Inter Milan
2-1
Spezia
Hakimi (52'), Lukaku (71' pen.)
Brozovic (18'), Conte (64')
Piccoli (90+4')
N'Zola (41'), Terzi (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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