Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 13.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.58%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Inter Milan |
13.08% | 19.43% | 67.49% |
Both teams to score 48.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.33% | 44.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.97% | 67.03% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.95% | 45.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.03% | 80.97% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.75% | 12.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.03% | 37.97% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 4.4% 2-1 @ 3.68% 2-0 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.03% 3-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.23% Total : 13.08% | 1-1 @ 9.24% 0-0 @ 5.52% 2-2 @ 3.87% Other @ 0.8% Total : 19.43% | 0-2 @ 12.16% 0-1 @ 11.58% 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-3 @ 8.51% 1-3 @ 6.79% 0-4 @ 4.47% 1-4 @ 3.56% 2-3 @ 2.71% 0-5 @ 1.88% 1-5 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.2% Total : 67.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
2 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 12 |
3 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
4 | Torino | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Inter Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
6 | Udinese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
7 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Lazio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
9 | Roma | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
10 | Como | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
11 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
12 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
13 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
16 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
19 | Monza | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
20 | CagliariCagliari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 2 |
> Serie A Full Table |