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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Napoli logo

Spezia
0 - 3
Napoli


Manaj (45+10')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Politano (4'), Zielinski (25'), Demme (36')
Politano (51'), Ghoulam (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Spezia 0-2 Napoli

Napoli are ending the campaign in good form and depending on how strong Luciano Spalletti decides to go with his team selection, they should finish with three points here. With their survival confirmed, Spezia are unlikely to provide that much of a challenge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawNapoli
9.85% (-0.0959 -0.1) 15.84% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04) 74.3% (0.134 0.13)
Both teams to score 49.83% (-0.248 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.19% (-0.12 -0.12)36.8% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.02% (-0.128 -0.13)58.97% (0.126 0.13)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.43% (-0.271 -0.27)45.57% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.62% (-0.213 -0.21)81.38% (0.211 0.21)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.55% (0.0019999999999953 0)8.44% (-0.0020999999999987 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.68% (0.0039999999999907 0)29.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 9.85%
    Napoli 74.3%
    Draw 15.84%
SpeziaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 3.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 2.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 1.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 9.85%
1-1 @ 7.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 15.84%
0-2 @ 11.75% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 9.68% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 9.51% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 5.98% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 4.7% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-5 @ 2.96% (0.019 0.02)
1-5 @ 2.33% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-4 @ 1.85% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-6 @ 1.22% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-6 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
2-5 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 74.3%

How you voted: Spezia vs Napoli

Spezia
13.6%
Draw
9.1%
Napoli
77.3%
66
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
0-1
Spezia

Rui (45+2'), Petagna (75')
Jesus (37' og.)
Maggiore (19'), Kiwior (48'), Manaj (51')
May 8, 2021 2pm
Spezia
1-4
Napoli
Piccoli (64')
Ricci (34'), Estevez (58'), Vignali (62')
Zielinski (15'), Osimhen (23', 44'), Lozano (79')
Hysaj (6'), Osimhen (65')
Jan 28, 2021 8pm
Napoli
4-2
Spezia
Koulibaly (5'), Lozano (20'), Politano (30'), Elmas (40')
Lozano (10'), Rui (61')
Gyasi (70'), Acampora (73')
Jan 6, 2021 5pm
Napoli
1-2
Spezia
Petagna (58')
Di Lorenzo (87'), Manolas (90+3')
N'Zola (68' pen.), Pobega (82')
Ismajli (61'), Pobega (65'), Maggiore (72'), Terzi (88')
Ismajli (77')
Jan 10, 2017 8pm
Napoli
3-1
Spezia
Zielinski (3'), Giaccherini (56'), Gabbiadini (57')
Piccolo (35')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Juventus633090912
2AC Milan6321147711
3Torino6321108211
4Inter Milan6321137611
5Udinese6312910-110
6Napoli531194510
7Empoli624052310
8Lazio63121210210
9Roma62317439
10Como6222911-28
11Atalanta BCAtalanta62131112-17
12Bologna614179-27
13Fiorentina61417707
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona62041011-16
15Parma512289-15
16Lecce6123311-85
17Genoa6123410-65
18VeneziaVenezia6114410-64
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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