Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 13

Dec 20, 2020 at 2pm UK

San Siro

Inter Milan
2 - 1
Spezia

Hakimi (52'), Lukaku (71' pen.)
Brozovic (18'), Conte (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Piccoli (90+4')
N'Zola (41'), Terzi (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 16.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 1-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Milan in this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Spezia
63.59%	19.51%	16.9%

Both teams to score 57.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.04%

36.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.85%

59.15%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.95%

11.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.61%

35.39%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.9%

35.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.15%

71.85%

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 63.59%

Spezia 16.9%

Draw 19.51%

Inter Milan	Draw	Spezia
2-1 @ 9.85% 2-0 @ 9.41% 1-0 @ 8.54% 3-1 @ 7.24% 3-0 @ 6.91% 4-1 @ 3.98% 4-0 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 3.79% 4-2 @ 2.09% 5-1 @ 1.76% 5-0 @ 1.68% 5-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.63% Total : 63.59%	1-1 @ 8.94% 2-2 @ 5.16% 0-0 @ 3.88% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.21% Total : 19.51%	1-2 @ 4.68% 0-1 @ 4.06% 0-2 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.8% 1-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.6% Total : 16.9%