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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Empoli logo

Spezia
1 - 0
Empoli

N'Zola (36')
Gyasi (4'), Reca (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Henderson (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 5-1 Como
Saturday, August 6 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Empoli 1-2 SPAL
Saturday, August 6 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Spezia 2-2 Empoli

Both sides have been in good goalscoring form over the past few weeks, and now the Serie A season kicks off, they can carry such potency into the opening day. As neither team is secure defensively, expect several goals in an eventful draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spezia in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawEmpoli
43.19% (0.080000000000005 0.08) 26.34% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 30.47% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.62% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.15% (0.087000000000003 0.09)52.85% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.54% (0.073 0.07)74.46% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (0.079000000000008 0.08)24.28% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34% (0.11 0.11)58.66% (-0.107 -0.11)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)31.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.74% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)68.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 43.18%
    Empoli 30.47%
    Draw 26.34%
SpeziaDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 43.18%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.85% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 30.47%

How you voted: Spezia vs Empoli

Spezia
42.1%
Draw
36.8%
Empoli
21.1%
57
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 2pm
Dec 19, 2021 2pm
Spezia
1-1
Empoli
Marchizza (50' og.)
Maggiore (21'), Amian (88'), Kovalenko (90')
Nikolaou (71' og.)
Tonelli (38'), Bandinelli (60')
Jun 19, 2020 4.30pm
Spezia
1-0
Empoli
Ragusa (72')
Bartolomei (90+1')

Balkovec (43')
Oct 29, 2019 8pm
Empoli
1-1
Spezia
Frattesi (71')
Dezi (50'), Laribi (89')
Bidaoui (56')
Bartolomei (23'), Ferrer (47'), Capradossi (75'), Terzi (76'), Ricci (84')
Apr 7, 2018 2pm
Spezia
1-1
Empoli
Lopez (16')
Piu (72')
Krunic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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