Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 1

Aug 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
1 - 0
Empoli

N'Zola (36')
Gyasi (4'), Reca (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Henderson (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

Last Six:

Last Game: Spezia 5-1 Como
Saturday, August 6 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Sassuolo	0	0	0
16	Spezia	0	0	0
17	Lecce	1	-1	0

Empoli

Last Six:

Last Game: Empoli 1-2 SPAL
Saturday, August 6 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Cremonese	0	0	0
7	Empoli	0	0	0
8	Fiorentina	0	0	0

Both sides have been in good goalscoring form over the past few weeks, and now the Serie A season kicks off, they can carry such potency into the opening day. As neither team is secure defensively, expect several goals in an eventful draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spezia in this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Empoli
43.19% ( 0.08)	26.34% ( -0.02)	30.47% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 51.62% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.15% (

0.09)

52.85% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.54% (

0.07)

74.46% (

-0.07)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.71% (

0.08)

24.28% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.34% (

0.11)

58.66% (

-0.11)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.18% (

0.01)

31.82% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.74% (

0.01)

68.26% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Spezia 43.18%

Empoli 30.47%

Draw 26.34%

Spezia	Draw	Empoli
1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 43.18%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.34%	0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.47%