We said: Juventus 2-1 Genoa
A change of coach - and formation - should refresh Juventus at this crucial stage of the season, with their Champions League dreams on the line between now and May. While Genoa are tough to beat on home soil, they tend to struggle more on the road and might end up empty-handed. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 62.19%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 15.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Genoa |
62.19% ( 0.12) | 21.99% ( -0.03) | 15.82% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 47.05% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.08% ( -0.02) | 49.92% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.09% ( -0.02) | 71.91% ( 0.02) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.48% ( 0.03) | 15.51% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.57% ( 0.06) | 44.42% ( -0.06) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.69% ( -0.13) | 44.31% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.62% ( -0.1) | 80.38% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 62.19% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 21.98% | 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.48% Total : 15.82% |
