Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Genoa1 - 1Empoli
We said: Genoa 2-0 Empoli
Genoa are a stable side under Patrick Vieira, with no worries of relegation to concern them between now and the end of the season. By contrast, Empoli have serious issues at both ends of the pitch: they have conceded the most shots in Serie A this season, and only rock-bottom Monza have attempted fewer. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Empoli |
51.59% ( 0.19) | 25.52% ( -0.01) | 22.89% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 48.08% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
