Serie A | Gameweek 26
Feb 23, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Cagliari0 - 1Juventus
We said: Cagliari 0-1 Juventus
While Juventus will still be licking their wounds from Wednesday, they can come away from a tough away fixture with maximum points. Cagliari offer little threat up front, so Juve should take the game to their hosts and score at least once. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 50.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Juventus in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Juventus |
24.2% ( -0.31) | 25.63% ( -0.29) | 50.17% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 49.16% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.18% ( 0.84) | 53.82% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.71% ( 0.7) | 75.29% ( -0.7) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.61% ( 0.19) | 37.38% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.83% ( 0.18) | 74.17% ( -0.18) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.52% ( 0.6) | 21.48% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.48% ( 0.92) | 54.51% ( -0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
Cagliari 24.2%
Juventus 50.17%
Draw 25.63%
| Cagliari | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.69% Total : 24.2% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.33% Total : 50.17% |
How you voted: Cagliari vs Juventus
Cagliari
23.8%Draw
14.3%Juventus
61.9%63
