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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 28, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Cremonese

Lazio
3 - 2
Cremonese

Hysaj (4'), Milinkovic-Savic (37', 89')
Zaccagni (72'), Pellegrini (81')
Sarri (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Galdames (54'), Lazzari (58' og.)
Sernicola (24'), Galdames (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 0-1 Lazio
Sunday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 4-0 Cremonese

Lazio can play with a certain amount of freedom considering their Champions League spot is already sealed, and a wounded Cremonese side are unlikely to pose any problems for the hosts. Cremonese will be starved of matches at historic grounds such as Stadio Olimpico when they ply their trade in Serie B next season - the Gray and Reds will probably not be too fond of their trip to Rome at the full-time whistle, however. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 70.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 10.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.42%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawCremonese
70.02% (0.471 0.47) 19.09% (0.023999999999997 0.02) 10.89% (-0.494 -0.49)
Both teams to score 42.55% (-1.677 -1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.44% (-1.36 -1.36)48.56% (1.362 1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32% (-1.251 -1.25)70.68% (1.254 1.25)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.31% (-0.265 -0.27)12.68% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.12% (-0.556 -0.56)38.88% (0.558 0.56)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.74% (-1.767 -1.77)51.26% (1.769 1.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.48% (-1.211 -1.21)85.52% (1.213 1.21)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 70.01%
    Cremonese 10.89%
    Draw 19.09%
LazioDrawCremonese
2-0 @ 13.86% (0.49 0.49)
1-0 @ 13.42% (0.6 0.6)
3-0 @ 9.54% (0.242 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-1 @ 6.37% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-0 @ 4.92% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.29% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.17 -0.17)
5-0 @ 2.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 70.01%
1-1 @ 8.97% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.5% (0.357 0.36)
2-2 @ 3.09% (-0.214 -0.21)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 19.09%
0-1 @ 4.35% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 3% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-2 @ 1.45% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 10.89%

How you voted: Lazio vs Cremonese

Lazio
81.0%
Draw
14.3%
Cremonese
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
gameweek 7
Cremonese
0-4
Lazio
Immobile (7', 21'), Milinkovic-Savic (45+2'), Pedro (79')
Casale (38')
Jan 14, 2020 5pm
Round of 16
Lazio
4-0
Cremonese
Patric (10'), Parolo (26'), Immobile (58' pen.), Bastos (89')
Felipe (46')

Castagnetti (56'), Deli (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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