Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 71.63%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 10.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 3-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Cremonese |
71.63% ( 0.84) | 17.93% ( -0.11) | 10.44% ( -0.73) |
Both teams to score 44.59% ( -2.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.12% ( -1.53) | 44.87% ( 1.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.77% ( -1.49) | 67.23% ( 1.49) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.81% ( -0.2) | 11.19% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.31% ( -0.44) | 35.69% ( 0.44) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.21% ( -2.36) | 49.79% ( 2.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.49% ( -1.7) | 84.51% ( 1.7) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Cremonese |
2-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.66) 1-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.69) 3-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.23) 5-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.47% Total : 71.62% | 1-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.29) Other @ 0.61% Total : 17.93% | 0-1 @ 3.88% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.23% Total : 10.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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