Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Lazio |
52.34% ( -0.4) | 25.46% ( 0.13) | 22.2% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 47.45% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.05% ( -0.2) | 54.95% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.77% ( -0.16) | 76.23% ( 0.16) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.98% ( -0.25) | 21.02% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.19% ( -0.39) | 53.81% ( 0.39) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.08% ( 0.17) | 39.92% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.42% ( 0.15) | 76.58% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 13.08% 2-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.29% Total : 52.32% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.35% Total : 22.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 44 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
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