Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
1 - 0
Sampdoria

Alberto (80')
Vecino (71'), Casale (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Leris (49'), Gabbiadini (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: CFR Cluj 0-0 Lazio
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sampdoria

All competitions

Last Game: Sampdoria 1-2 Bologna
Saturday, February 18 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio have conceded the joint-fewest goals in the first half of games across Europe's top five leagues (four, level with Barcelona), while Samp have scored just five in the first half all season - no team has fewer. Logic dictates, then, that the home side should comfortably keep their visitors at bay before one of many attacking options strikes at the other end: cue more misery for Sampdoria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 67.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 12.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.66%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Sampdoria
67.89% ( -0.04)	19.7% ( 0.09)	12.41% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 45.41% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.61% (

-0.51)

47.39% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.39% (

-0.48)

69.61% (

0.48)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.05% (

-0.17)

12.95% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.58% (

-0.34)

39.42% (

0.34)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.16% (

-0.41)

47.84% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.89% (

-0.3)

83.11% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Lazio 67.88%

Sampdoria 12.41%

Draw 19.7%

Lazio	Draw	Sampdoria
2-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 67.88%	1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.65% Total : 19.7%	0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 12.41%