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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Sampdoria logo

Lazio
1 - 0
Sampdoria

Alberto (80')
Vecino (71'), Casale (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Leris (49'), Gabbiadini (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: CFR Cluj 0-0 Lazio
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-2 Bologna
Saturday, February 18 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-0 Sampdoria

Lazio have conceded the joint-fewest goals in the first half of games across Europe's top five leagues (four, level with Barcelona), while Samp have scored just five in the first half all season - no team has fewer. Logic dictates, then, that the home side should comfortably keep their visitors at bay before one of many attacking options strikes at the other end: cue more misery for Sampdoria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 67.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 12.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.66%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawSampdoria
67.89% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 19.7% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 12.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
Both teams to score 45.41% (-0.441 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.61% (-0.512 -0.51)47.39% (0.516 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.39% (-0.478 -0.48)69.61% (0.48099999999999 0.48)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (-0.166 -0.17)12.95% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.58% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)39.42% (0.343 0.34)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.16% (-0.405 -0.41)47.84% (0.408 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.89% (-0.302 -0.3)83.11% (0.303 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 67.88%
    Sampdoria 12.41%
    Draw 19.7%
LazioDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 12.94% (0.12 0.12)
1-0 @ 12.66% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.82% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.51% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.32% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.84% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 67.88%
1-1 @ 9.34% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.133 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 19.7%
0-1 @ 4.57% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.44% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 12.41%

How you voted: Lazio vs Sampdoria

Lazio
Draw
Sampdoria
Lazio
89.2%
Draw
4.5%
Sampdoria
6.4%
157
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 5.30pm
May 7, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 5, 2021 5pm
Feb 20, 2021 2pm
Lazio
1-0
Sampdoria
Alberto (24')
Lulic (45'), Marusic (82'), Escalante (89'), Patric (90+3')

Silva (35'), Ekdal (60'), Colley (74')
Oct 17, 2020 5pm
Sampdoria
3-0
Lazio
Quagliarella (32'), Augello (41'), Damsgaard (74')
Ramirez (43'), Thorsby (64')

Parolo (12'), Caicedo (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan33218472324071
2Napoli33218452252771
3Atalanta BCAtalanta33197766303664
4Bologna331612552371560
5Juventus331514449311859
6Lazio33178855431259
7Roma33169848321657
8Fiorentina33168951331856
9AC Milan331491051381351
10Torino331013103837143
11Udinese33117153648-1240
12Como33109144348-539
13Genoa33912122940-1139
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3395193060-3032
15Parma33613143851-1331
16CagliariCagliari3379173349-1630
17Lecce3368192355-3226
18VeneziaVenezia33413162746-1925
19Empoli33413162652-2625
20Monza3329222557-3215


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