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Serie A
Lazio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Sampdoria logo

Lazio
1 - 0
Sampdoria

Alberto (80')
Vecino (71'), Casale (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Leris (49'), Gabbiadini (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: CFR Cluj 0-0 Lazio
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Sampdoria

All competitions
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-2 Bologna
Saturday, February 18 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-0 Sampdoria

 Lazio have conceded the joint-fewest goals in the first half of games across Europe's top five leagues (four, level with Barcelona), while Samp have scored just five in the first half all season - no team has fewer. Logic dictates, then, that the home side should comfortably keep their visitors at bay before one of many attacking options strikes at the other end: cue more misery for Sampdoria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 67.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 12.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.66%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawSampdoria
67.89% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 19.7% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 12.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
Both teams to score 45.41% (-0.441 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.61% (-0.512 -0.51)47.39% (0.516 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.39% (-0.478 -0.48)69.61% (0.48099999999999 0.48)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (-0.166 -0.17)12.95% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.58% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)39.42% (0.343 0.34)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.16% (-0.405 -0.41)47.84% (0.408 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.89% (-0.302 -0.3)83.11% (0.303 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 67.88%
    Sampdoria 12.41%
    Draw 19.7%
LazioDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 12.94% (0.12 0.12)
1-0 @ 12.66% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.82% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.51% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.32% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.84% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 67.88%
1-1 @ 9.34% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.133 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 19.7%
0-1 @ 4.57% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.44% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 12.41%

How you voted: Lazio vs Sampdoria

Lazio
89.2%
Draw
4.5%
Sampdoria
6.4%
157
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 5.30pm
Sampdoria
1-1
Lazio
Gabbiadini (90+2')
Immobile (21')
Zaccagni (71')
May 7, 2022 7.45pm
Lazio
2-0
Sampdoria
Patric (41'), Alberto (59')
Hysaj (81')

Vieira (79')
Dec 5, 2021 5pm
Sampdoria
1-3
Lazio
Gabbiadini (89')
Candreva (14'), Bereszynski (39'), Quagliarella (39'), Silva (80')
Milinkovic-Savic (7'), Immobile (17', 37')
Milinkovic-Savic (67'), Muriqi (88')
Milinkovic-Savic (67')
Feb 20, 2021 2pm
Lazio
1-0
Sampdoria
Alberto (24')
Lulic (45'), Marusic (82'), Escalante (89'), Patric (90+3')

Silva (35'), Ekdal (60'), Colley (74')
Oct 17, 2020 5pm
Sampdoria
3-0
Lazio
Quagliarella (32'), Augello (41'), Damsgaard (74')
Ramirez (43'), Thorsby (64')

Parolo (12'), Caicedo (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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