Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Salernitana0 - 2Lazio
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-0 Salernitana
Monday, February 13 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Monday, February 13 at 5.30pm in Serie A
We said: Salernitana 1-2 Lazio
There have been no draws in the previous seven Serie A meetings between Salernitana and Lazio - though several occurred many years ago - and the chaos at Stadio Arechi could see that streak continue. Already dropping like a stone, the hosts must now adapt to life under Paulo Sousa, whereas their visitors' patterns of play are well ingrained thanks to 'Sarrisimo'. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Lazio |
18.44% ( -0.56) | 22% ( -0.27) | 59.55% ( 0.82) |
| Both teams to score 52.23% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
