Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Lazio |
18.44% (![]() | 22% (![]() | 59.55% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.23% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.29% (![]() | 45.7% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.97% (![]() | 68.02% (![]() |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.42% (![]() | 38.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.67% (![]() | 75.32% (![]() |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.04% (![]() | 14.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.62% (![]() | 43.38% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 5.5% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.5% ( ![]() Other @ 2.27% Total : 18.44% | 1-1 @ 10.44% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.73% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 22% | 0-1 @ 10.96% 0-2 @ 10.41% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.92% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.6% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.28% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.52% Total : 59.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |