Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Empoli |
38.68% ( 0.41) | 27.89% ( 0.37) | 33.42% ( -0.78) |
Both teams to score 47.88% ( -1.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.96% ( -1.47) | 58.04% ( 1.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.28% ( -1.17) | 78.72% ( 1.17) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.87% ( -0.47) | 29.13% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.94% ( -0.59) | 65.05% ( 0.59) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.56% ( -1.27) | 32.44% ( 1.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.04% ( -1.45) | 68.96% ( 1.45) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Empoli |
1-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 38.68% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 19 |
11 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
12 | Torino | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
> Serie A Full Table |