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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Empoli logo

Lecce
1 - 1
Empoli

Pierotti (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pellegri (33')
Cacace (45+1'), Pellegri (52'), Henderson (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, November 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Como
Monday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Empoli

Lecce's only loss from five previous top-flight home games against Empoli came back in 2006, and they should continue that trend on Friday evening - providing they can convert their chances. While the Azzurri's defence has stood firm this season, they may be tempted to press forward against ailing opponents, and their hosts have the potential to counter-attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
LecceDrawEmpoli
38.68% (0.411 0.41) 27.89% (0.367 0.37) 33.42% (-0.776 -0.78)
Both teams to score 47.88% (-1.224 -1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.96% (-1.471 -1.47)58.04% (1.474 1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.28% (-1.171 -1.17)78.72% (1.173 1.17)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87% (-0.473 -0.47)29.13% (0.474 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.94% (-0.58799999999999 -0.59)65.05% (0.589 0.59)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (-1.268 -1.27)32.44% (1.268 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.04% (-1.451 -1.45)68.96% (1.452 1.45)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 38.68%
    Empoli 33.42%
    Draw 27.89%
LecceDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 11.65% (0.49 0.49)
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.19% (0.211 0.21)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.96% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 38.68%
1-1 @ 13.12% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 9.45% (0.517 0.52)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 10.63% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.99% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.42%

How you voted: Lecce vs Empoli

Lecce
33.9%
Draw
26.3%
Empoli
39.8%
118
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 32
Lecce
1-0
Empoli
Sansone (89')
Almqvist (45+2')

Gyasi (90')
Dec 11, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Empoli
1-1
Lecce
Rafia (71' og.)
Maleh (37'), Grassi (51')
Banda (64')
Gonzalez (4'), D'Aversa (68'), Ramadani (75')
Apr 3, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 28
Empoli
1-0
Lecce
Caputo (62' pen.)
Aug 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lecce
1-1
Empoli
Espeto (40')
Banda (34')
Parisi (23')
Marin (27'), Stojanovic (57')
May 10, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 38
Empoli
2-1
Lecce
La Mantia (51'), Matos (68')
Haas (39'), Parisi (63'), Olivieri (84')
Rodriguez (24')
Meccariello (10'), Pisacane (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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