We said: Udinese 1-0 Lecce
Lecce coach Luca Gotti is set to leave his old club empty-handed, as Udinese are tough to beat on home turf and have a more potent attack than their visitors.
That would make for a long return journey south, as the Salentini contemplate spending the international break inside Serie A's drop zone.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Udinese in this match.
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