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Serie A
Udinese logo
Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2024 at 2pm UK
Dacia Arena
Lecce logo

Udinese
1 - 0
Lecce

Zemura (75')
Ehizibue (28'), Kamara (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rebic (36'), Baschirotto (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 2-3 Inter Milan
Saturday, September 28 at 2pm in Serie A

Lecce

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 1-0 Lecce

 Lecce coach Luca Gotti is set to leave his old club empty-handed, as Udinese are tough to beat on home turf and have a more potent attack than their visitors. That would make for a long return journey south, as the Salentini contemplate spending the international break inside Serie A's drop zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Udinese in this match.

Result
UdineseDrawLecce
48.09% (-0.176 -0.18) 24.74% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 27.17% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 54.59% (-0.165 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)47.99% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.83% (-0.236 -0.24)70.16% (0.235 0.23)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99% (-0.178 -0.18)20% (0.175 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.8% (-0.284 -0.28)52.19% (0.28400000000001 0.28)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.24% (-0.056000000000012 -0.06)31.75% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82% (-0.064 -0.06)68.18% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 48.09%
    Lecce 27.17%
    Draw 24.73%
UdineseDrawLecce
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.41% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 48.09%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.29% (0.066 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.73% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.18% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 27.17%

How you voted: Udinese vs Lecce

Udinese
88.3%
Draw
6.7%
Lecce
5.0%
60
Head to Head
May 13, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 36
Lecce
0-2
Udinese

Blin (17'), Dorgu (57')
Lucca (36'), Samardzic (85')
Payero (60')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Udinese
1-1
Lecce
Thauvin (49' pen.)
Kabasele (5'), Thauvin (77'), Ebosele (90+1')
Piccoli (83')
Ramadani (34'), Baschirotto (72'), Pongracic (72'), Dorgu (75'), Gendrey (84')
> Preview
Apr 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Lecce
1-0
Udinese
Espeto (62' pen.)
> Preview
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Udinese
1-1
Lecce
Beto (68')
Colombo (33')
> Preview
Jul 29, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 37
Udinese
1-2
Lecce
Samir (36')
Sema (86')
Mancosu (40' pen.), Lapadula (81')
Paz (22'), Calderoni (45+1'), Lapadula (82'), Donati (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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