Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lecce1 - 0Hellas Verona
We said: Lecce 2-1 Hellas Verona
Lecce's long wait for a win could finally end, as they come up against Serie A's leakiest defence on Tuesday evening. In fact, both teams concede goals at a rate of more than two per game, so it may be the case that whichever side makes fewer mistakes will prevail. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Hellas Verona |
36.9% ( 1.95) | 26.02% ( 0.61) | 37.08% ( -2.56) |
| Both teams to score 54.19% ( -1.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
