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Serie A
Napoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Lecce logo

Napoli
1 - 0
Lecce

Di Lorenzo (73')
Ngonge (19'), Di Lorenzo (51'), Rebic (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pierotti (77'), Rebic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Napoli
Sunday, October 20 at 11.30am in Serie A

Lecce

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-6 Fiorentina
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 3-0 Lecce

 There is a huge gulf in both quality and confidence within the two camps, as Napoli are riding the crest of a wave and Lecce cannot score or keep a clean sheet. The Serie A leaders are set to extend their winning streak, while their visitors could finish the week rock-bottom of the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 73.61%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 9.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.7%) and 3-0 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawLecce
73.61% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1) 16.88% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 9.51% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 44.56% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.06% (-0.061 -0.06)42.94% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.66% (-0.061 -0.06)65.34% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.85% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)10.15% (0.042 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.62% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)33.38% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.59% (0.064 0.06)50.4% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.06% (0.047000000000001 0.05)84.94% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 73.58%
    Lecce 9.51%
    Draw 16.88%
NapoliDrawLecce
2-0 @ 13.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 5.84% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.83% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 73.58%
1-1 @ 8.02% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.14% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 16.88%
0-1 @ 3.51% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.75% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 9.51%

How you voted: Napoli vs Lecce

Napoli
90.2%
Draw
7.1%
Lecce
2.7%
112
Head to Head
May 26, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 38
Napoli
0-0
Lecce
> Preview
Sep 30, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Lecce
0-4
Napoli

Gallo (36'), Ramadani (57'), D'Aversa (67'), Gonzalez (81')
Skiri Oestigaard (16'), Osimhen (51'), Gaetano (88'), Politano (90+4' pen.)
Simeone (17'), Kvaratskhelia (33')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 29
Lecce
1-2
Napoli
Di Francesco (52')
Di Lorenzo (18'), Gallo (64' og.)
> Preview
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Napoli
1-1
Lecce
Elmas (27')
Colombo (31')
> Preview
Feb 9, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 23
Napoli
2-3
Lecce
Milik (48'), Callejon (90')
Koulibaly (37'), Zielinski (57'), Milik (73'), Rui (80'), Demme (84')
Lapadula (29', 61'), Mancosu (82')
Rispoli (66'), Vigorito (78'), Petriccione (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


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