Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli1 - 0Lecce
FT(HT: 0-0)
We said: Napoli 3-0 Lecce
There is a huge gulf in both quality and confidence within the two camps, as Napoli are riding the crest of a wave and Lecce cannot score or keep a clean sheet. The Serie A leaders are set to extend their winning streak, while their visitors could finish the week rock-bottom of the standings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 73.61%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 9.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.7%) and 3-0 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Lecce |
73.61% ( -0.1) | 16.88% ( 0.05) | 9.51% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 44.56% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.06% ( -0.06) | 42.94% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.66% ( -0.06) | 65.34% ( 0.06) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.85% ( -0.04) | 10.15% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.62% ( -0.09) | 33.38% ( 0.09) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.59% ( 0.06) | 50.4% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.06% ( 0.05) | 84.94% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Napoli 73.58%
Lecce 9.51%
Draw 16.88%
| Napoli | Draw | Lecce |
| 2-0 @ 13.38% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.99% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 73.58% | 1-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.6% Total : 16.88% | 0-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 9.51% |
How you voted: Napoli vs Lecce
Napoli
90.2%Draw
7.1%Lecce
2.7%112
Head to Head
May 26, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 38
Napoli
0-0
Lecce
Sep 30, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Lecce
0-4
Napoli
Skiri Oestigaard (16'), Osimhen (51'), Gaetano (88'), Politano (90+4' pen.)
Simeone (17'), Kvaratskhelia (33')
Simeone (17'), Kvaratskhelia (33')
Apr 7, 2023 6pm
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
