Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
26.47% ( -0.95) | 26.22% ( -0.15) | 47.31% ( 1.11) |
Both teams to score 49.46% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.57% ( 0.01) | 54.44% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.2% ( 0.01) | 75.8% ( 0) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.24% ( -0.78) | 35.76% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.47% ( -0.81) | 72.53% ( 0.82) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.99% ( 0.52) | 23.01% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.19% ( 0.75) | 56.81% ( -0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.97% Total : 26.47% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |