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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Fiorentina logo

Empoli
0 - 0
Fiorentina

FT

Comuzzo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A derby between Empoli and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-2 Empoli
Tuesday, September 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Lazio
Sunday, September 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Empoli 1-2 Fiorentina

Empoli have defied all the odds to stay undefeated so far, and they should certainly pose Fiorentina some problems in the Derby dell'Arno. However, the Viola can spoil their Azzurri rivals' party by snatching maximum points, having gained confidence from winning last week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawFiorentina
26.47% (-0.952 -0.95) 26.22% (-0.149 -0.15) 47.31% (1.109 1.11)
Both teams to score 49.46% (-0.263 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)54.44% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)75.8% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.24% (-0.779 -0.78)35.76% (0.78400000000001 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.47% (-0.81 -0.81)72.53% (0.81500000000001 0.82)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (0.51899999999999 0.52)23.01% (-0.513 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.19% (0.753 0.75)56.81% (-0.746 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 26.47%
    Fiorentina 47.3%
    Draw 26.22%
EmpoliDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-1 @ 6.39% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-0 @ 4.35% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 26.47%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 12.08% (0.18 0.18)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 8.88% (0.265 0.27)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.35% (0.194 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.063 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.6% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.3%

How you voted: Empoli vs Fiorentina

Empoli
37.2%
Draw
25.5%
Fiorentina
37.2%
94
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 25
Empoli
1-1
Fiorentina
Niang (56' pen.)
Gyasi (1'), Luperto (45+4'), Zurkowski (73')
Beltran (29')
Biraghi (70'), Beltran (82')
Oct 23, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Fiorentina
0-2
Empoli

Beltran (77')
Caputo (21'), Gyasi (81')
Walukiewicz (52'), Cancellieri (71'), Fazzini (79')
Feb 19, 2023 2pm
Aug 21, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Empoli
0-0
Fiorentina
Bandinelli (32')
Luperto (67'), Zanetti (90+10')
Ikone (37'), Maleh (40'), Sottil (73')
Apr 3, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Fiorentina
1-0
Empoli
Gonzalez (58')
Torreira (56')

Luperto (45+3'), Ismajli (81')
Luperto (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio27155749351450
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese27116103437-339
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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