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Serie A
Empoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Fiorentina logo

Empoli
0 - 0
Fiorentina

FT

Comuzzo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A derby between Empoli and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-2 Empoli
Tuesday, September 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Lazio
Sunday, September 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Empoli 1-2 Fiorentina

 Empoli have defied all the odds to stay undefeated so far, and they should certainly pose Fiorentina some problems in the Derby dell'Arno. However, the Viola can spoil their Azzurri rivals' party by snatching maximum points, having gained confidence from winning last week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawFiorentina
26.47% (-0.952 -0.95) 26.22% (-0.149 -0.15) 47.31% (1.109 1.11)
Both teams to score 49.46% (-0.263 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)54.44% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)75.8% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.24% (-0.779 -0.78)35.76% (0.78400000000001 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.47% (-0.81 -0.81)72.53% (0.81500000000001 0.82)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (0.51899999999999 0.52)23.01% (-0.513 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.19% (0.753 0.75)56.81% (-0.746 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 26.47%
    Fiorentina 47.3%
    Draw 26.22%
EmpoliDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-1 @ 6.39% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-0 @ 4.35% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 26.47%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 12.08% (0.18 0.18)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 8.88% (0.265 0.27)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.35% (0.194 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.063 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.6% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.3%

How you voted: Empoli vs Fiorentina

Empoli
37.2%
Draw
25.5%
Fiorentina
37.2%
94
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 25
Empoli
1-1
Fiorentina
Niang (56' pen.)
Gyasi (1'), Luperto (45+4'), Zurkowski (73')
Beltran (29')
Biraghi (70'), Beltran (82')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Fiorentina
0-2
Empoli

Beltran (77')
Caputo (21'), Gyasi (81')
Walukiewicz (52'), Cancellieri (71'), Fazzini (79')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 23
Fiorentina
1-1
Empoli
Cabral (85')
Cambiaghi (28')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Empoli
0-0
Fiorentina
Bandinelli (32')
Luperto (67'), Zanetti (90+10')
Ikone (37'), Maleh (40'), Sottil (73')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Fiorentina
1-0
Empoli
Gonzalez (58')
Torreira (56')

Luperto (45+3'), Ismajli (81')
Luperto (57')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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