Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli1 - 0Como
We said: Empoli 1-1 Como
Despite Empoli's wretched form in front of goal at the Castellani this term, we expect a marginally more attacking approach against a leaky Como. However, the spoils could be shared, with Fabregas's men possessing enough in attack to unpick the home side's rearguard. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Como |
30.37% ( -0.26) | 27.66% ( -0.45) | 41.96% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 47.63% ( 1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
