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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Lecce logo

Torino
1 - 0
Lecce

Vlasic (40')
Ilkhan (53'), Schuurs (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hjulmand (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Torino and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Torino
Thursday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Lecce
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-0 Lecce

Under Juric, Torino rarely give away goals cheaply, so Lecce are likely to find it tough to break down their hosts. With some of their new signings settling nicely, Il Toro can claim three more points to prolong their positive start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawLecce
43.75% (0.313 0.31) 27.44% (-0.026 -0.03) 28.81% (-0.282 -0.28)
Both teams to score 47.53% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.31% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)57.69% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.55% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)78.45% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82% (0.154 0.15)26.18% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.73% (0.205 0.2)61.27% (-0.202 -0.2)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38% (-0.227 -0.23)35.62% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61% (-0.236 -0.24)72.39% (0.23899999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Torino 43.75%
    Lecce 28.81%
    Draw 27.44%
TorinoDrawLecce
1-0 @ 12.49% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.37% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.74% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.75%
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.44%
0-1 @ 9.63% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 28.81%

How you voted: Torino vs Lecce

Torino
81.3%
Draw
18.8%
Lecce
0.0%
32
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2020 5pm
Lecce
4-0
Torino
Deiola (11'), Barak (19'), Falco (64'), Lapadula (78' pen.)
Majer (33'), Deiola (43'), Lapadula (76')

N'Koulou (12'), Meite (18'), Aina (60')
Sep 16, 2019 7.45pm
Torino
1-2
Lecce
Belotti (58' pen.)
Berenguer (40')
Farias (35'), Mancosu (73')
Rossettini (15'), Lucioni (18'), Lapadula (50'), Tabanelli (56'), Rispoli (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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