Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Lazio | 5 | 2 | 8 |
9 | Torino | 4 | 0 | 7 |
10 | Fiorentina | 5 | 0 | 6 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Bologna | 5 | -3 | 3 |
17 | Lecce | 4 | -2 | 2 |
18 | Sampdoria | 5 | -7 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.
Result | ||
Torino | Draw | Lecce |
43.75% ( 0.31) | 27.44% ( -0.03) | 28.81% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 47.53% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.31% ( -0.02) | 57.69% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.55% ( -0.01) | 78.45% ( 0.02) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.82% ( 0.15) | 26.18% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.73% ( 0.2) | 61.27% ( -0.2) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.38% ( -0.23) | 35.62% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.61% ( -0.24) | 72.39% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Torino | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 43.75% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.02% Total : 28.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |