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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Lecce logo

Torino
1 - 0
Lecce

Vlasic (40')
Ilkhan (53'), Schuurs (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hjulmand (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Torino and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Torino
Thursday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Lecce
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-0 Lecce

Under Juric, Torino rarely give away goals cheaply, so Lecce are likely to find it tough to break down their hosts. With some of their new signings settling nicely, Il Toro can claim three more points to prolong their positive start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawLecce
43.75% (0.313 0.31) 27.44% (-0.026 -0.03) 28.81% (-0.282 -0.28)
Both teams to score 47.53% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.31% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)57.69% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.55% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)78.45% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82% (0.154 0.15)26.18% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.73% (0.205 0.2)61.27% (-0.202 -0.2)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38% (-0.227 -0.23)35.62% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61% (-0.236 -0.24)72.39% (0.23899999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Torino 43.75%
    Lecce 28.81%
    Draw 27.44%
TorinoDrawLecce
1-0 @ 12.49% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.37% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.74% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.75%
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.44%
0-1 @ 9.63% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 28.81%

How you voted: Torino vs Lecce

Torino
81.3%
Draw
18.8%
Lecce
0.0%
32
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2020 5pm
Lecce
4-0
Torino
Deiola (11'), Barak (19'), Falco (64'), Lapadula (78' pen.)
Majer (33'), Deiola (43'), Lapadula (76')

N'Koulou (12'), Meite (18'), Aina (60')
Sep 16, 2019 7.45pm
Torino
1-2
Lecce
Belotti (58' pen.)
Berenguer (40')
Farias (35'), Mancosu (73')
Rossettini (15'), Lucioni (18'), Lapadula (50'), Tabanelli (56'), Rispoli (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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