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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Lecce logo

Napoli
1 - 1
Lecce

Elmas (27')
Politano (13')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Colombo (31')
Hjulmand (33'), Colombo (40'), Gonzalez (90+7'), Gendrey (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-0 Lecce

Despite their lack of points, Lecce have proved tough enough to withstand pressure and have not lost by more than a one-goal margin. If Napoli opt to rotate their resources, a new-look XI may take a while to gel - but their class in the final third should get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawLecce
64.16% (-0.271 -0.27) 20.34% (0.156 0.16) 15.5% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 51.55% (-0.241 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.48% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)43.52% (0.462 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.09% (-0.455 -0.45)65.91% (0.45400000000001 0.45)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)12.85% (0.218 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.78% (-0.45 -0.45)39.22% (0.449 0.45)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.15% (-0.129 -0.13)40.85% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.58% (-0.115 -0.12)77.42% (0.114 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 64.16%
    Lecce 15.5%
    Draw 20.34%
NapoliDrawLecce
2-0 @ 11.05% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 10.77% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.56% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.88% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.59% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.42% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 64.16%
1-1 @ 9.64% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.106 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.34%
0-1 @ 4.7% (0.078 0.08)
1-2 @ 4.32% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.1% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 15.5%

How you voted: Napoli vs Lecce

Napoli
88.3%
Draw
8.3%
Lecce
3.3%
120
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2020 2pm
Napoli
2-3
Lecce
Milik (48'), Callejon (90')
Koulibaly (37'), Zielinski (57'), Milik (73'), Rui (80'), Demme (84')
Lapadula (29', 61'), Mancosu (82')
Rispoli (66'), Vigorito (78'), Petriccione (85')
Sep 22, 2019 2pm
Lecce
1-4
Napoli
Mancosu (61' pen.)
Tachtsidis (37'), Gabriel (38'), Tabanelli (49')
Llorente (28', 82'), Insigne (40' pen.), Fabian (52')
Ghoulam (22'), Elmas (45'), Fabian (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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