Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 47.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
Result | ||
Cremonese | Draw | Salernitana |
47.08% ( 3.87) | 26.89% ( 0.32) | 26.02% ( -4.19) |
Both teams to score 47.21% ( -3.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.82% ( -3.3) | 57.19% ( 3.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.96% ( -2.7) | 78.04% ( 2.7) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.7% ( 0.43) | 24.31% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.32% ( 0.61) | 58.69% ( -0.6) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.37% ( -5.08) | 37.64% ( 5.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.59% ( -5.33) | 74.41% ( 5.33) |
Score Analysis |
Cremonese | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 12.93% ( 1.69) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 1.29) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.66) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.45% Total : 47.08% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 1.1) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.58) Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.91) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.7) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.64) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.47) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.43) Other @ 1.68% Total : 26.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
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