Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Lecce |
50.13% ( 0.34) | 26.36% ( 0.05) | 23.51% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 46.42% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.95% ( -0.46) | 57.05% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.06% ( -0.37) | 77.94% ( 0.37) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.16% ( -0.04) | 22.85% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.43% ( -0.07) | 56.57% ( 0.07) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.16% ( -0.62) | 39.84% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.5% ( -0.58) | 76.5% ( 0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 13.43% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 50.13% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.37% Total : 23.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |