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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Salernitana

Roma
2 - 2
Salernitana

El Shaarawy (47'), Matic (83')
Zalewski (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Candreva (12'), Dia (54')
Gyomber (69'), Ochoa (85'), Daniliuc (87'), Dia (90+5')
Sousa (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Roma and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Roma
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Salernitana 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, May 13 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-1 Salernitana

With their patched-up squad and heavy workload, Roma are vulnerable to a buoyant Salernitana side - particularly as they lack sufficient firepower up front. The visitors do not tend to travel well, but on current form they can pick up a point at the Olimpico. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 69.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.55%) and 3-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
RomaDrawSalernitana
69.41% (-0.142 -0.14) 19.86% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 10.72% (0.075999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 39.77% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (-0.067 -0.07)52.07% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (-0.058 -0.06)73.8% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.06% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)13.93% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.6% (-0.126 -0.13)41.39% (0.126 0.13)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.21% (0.105 0.1)53.79% (-0.10400000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.85% (0.064 0.06)87.15% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Roma 69.41%
    Salernitana 10.72%
    Draw 19.86%
RomaDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 14.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 14.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 9.56% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.71% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 69.41%
1-1 @ 9.16% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.5% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.8% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 19.86%
0-1 @ 4.65% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 2.84% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.44% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 10.72%

How you voted: Roma vs Salernitana

Roma
69.9%
Draw
19.5%
Salernitana
10.6%
123
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 1
Salernitana
0-1
Roma

Coulibaly (28'), Gyomber (39'), Kastanos (40')
Cristante (33')
Smalling (48'), Matic (72')
Apr 10, 2022 5pm
gameweek 32
Roma
2-1
Salernitana
Perez (82'), Smalling (85')
Kumbulla (21'), Cristante (54'), Mkhitaryan (80'), Abraham (90'), Patricio (90+4')
Radovanovic (22')
Bohinen (13'), Djuric (30'), Gyomber (41'), Ribery (67'), Sepe (71'), Kastanos (75'), Zortea (81'), Radovanovic (90')
Aug 29, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 2
Salernitana
0-4
Roma

Bonazzoli (35'), Aya (50')
Pellegrini (48', 79'), Veretout (52'), Abraham (69')
Perez (40'), Mkhitaryan (67')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Juventus633090912
2AC Milan6321147711
3Torino6321108211
4Inter Milan6321137611
5Udinese6312910-110
6Napoli531194510
7Empoli624052310
8Lazio63121210210
9Roma62317439
10Como6222911-28
11Atalanta BCAtalanta62131112-17
12Bologna614179-27
13Fiorentina61417707
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona62041011-16
15Parma512289-15
16Lecce6123311-85
17Genoa6123410-65
18VeneziaVenezia6114410-64
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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