MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 01:27:15| >> :600:1059307:1059307:
Lecce logo
Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
1 - 0
Como

Almqvist (27')
Baschirotto (2'), Chinazaekpere Dorgu (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cassandro (19'), Abildgaard (23')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Lecce and Como.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 2-3 Bologna
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Serie A

Como

All competitions
Last Game: Cittadella 0-0 Como
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Como had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.

Result
LecceDrawComo
47.5% (-0.172 -0.17) 25.01% (0.073 0.07) 27.49% (0.105 0.1)
Both teams to score 53.97% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.07% (-0.231 -0.23)48.93% (0.238 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.98% (-0.211 -0.21)71.02% (0.217 0.22)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.37% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)20.63% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.8% (-0.267 -0.27)53.2% (0.273 0.27)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)32% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.53% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)68.47% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 47.5%
    Como 27.49%
    Draw 25.01%
LecceDrawComo
1-0 @ 10.42% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 47.5%
1-1 @ 11.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.064 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.29% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 27.49%

Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 21
Como
1-1
Lecce
Cerri (4' pen.)
Ioannou (72')
Listkowski (13')
Calabresi (2'), Hjulmand (24'), Gallo (75')
Aug 29, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Lecce
1-1
Como
Coda (40' pen.)
Johann Helgason (5'), Di Mariano (70')
Cerri (42')
Scaglia (39'), Ioannou (55')
rhs 2.0
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