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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Udinese logo

Salernitana
3 - 2
Udinese

Kastanos (43'), Candreva (57'), Troost-Ekong (90+6')
Vilhena (37'), Kastanos (90+1'), Troost-Ekong (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Zeegelaar (25'), Nestorovski (30')
Zeegelaar (4'), Bijol (71')
Zeegelaar (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 2-2 Salernitana
Monday, May 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 0-1 Lazio
Sunday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 2-1 Udinese

While Udinese can end their goal drought against a Salernitana side that struggles to keep clean sheets, the hosts have plenty of attacking threat and have rarely been beaten of late - they are going from strength to strength under Paulo Sousa. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawUdinese
31.55% (-0.064 -0.06) 26.48% (0.119 0.12) 41.96% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.63% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.95% (-0.489 -0.49)53.05% (0.49299999999999 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.36% (-0.419 -0.42)74.64% (0.42100000000001 0.42)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (-0.289 -0.29)31.17% (0.293 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (-0.343 -0.34)67.51% (0.346 0.35)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (-0.244 -0.24)24.99% (0.248 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35% (-0.344 -0.34)59.65% (0.347 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 31.55%
    Udinese 41.96%
    Draw 26.48%
SalernitanaDrawUdinese
1-0 @ 9.08% (0.103 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.85% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 31.55%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.79% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 10.8% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.49% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 41.96%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Udinese

Salernitana
62.1%
Draw
13.8%
Udinese
24.1%
29
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 2
Udinese
0-0
Salernitana

Makengo (29'), Walace (45+1')
Perez (45+4')

Bonazzoli (35'), Bradaric (49'), Bronn (66'), Gyomber (74')
May 22, 2022 8pm
gameweek 38
Salernitana
0-4
Udinese

Belec (45+4'), Nicola (74')
Deulofeu (6'), Nestorovski (34'), Udogie (42'), Pereyra (57')
Pereyra (58')
Apr 20, 2022 5.45pm
gameweek 19
Udinese
0-1
Salernitana

Jajalo (32'), Mari (89'), Deulofeu (90+2')
Verdi (90+3')
Ranieri (56'), Ederson (84'), Bohinen (86'), Kastanos (90+2'), Verdi (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Juventus633090912
2AC Milan6321147711
3Torino6321108211
4Inter Milan6321137611
5Udinese6312910-110
6Napoli531194510
7Empoli624052310
8Lazio63121210210
9Roma62317439
10Como6222911-28
11Atalanta BCAtalanta62131112-17
12Bologna614179-27
13Fiorentina61417707
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona62041011-16
15Parma512289-15
16Lecce6123311-85
17Genoa6123410-65
18VeneziaVenezia6114410-64
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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