Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Monza had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Inter Milan |
27.04% (![]() | 25.15% (![]() | 47.81% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.16% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.17% (![]() | 49.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.17% (![]() | 71.82% (![]() |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.17% (![]() | 32.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.61% (![]() | 69.39% (![]() |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.13% (![]() | 20.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.44% (![]() | 53.56% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 7.63% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.66% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.58% ( ![]() Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.04% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.85% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 10.73% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.37% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.41% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.89% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 47.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 61 |
2 | Napoli | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 60 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 58 |
4 | Juventus | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 52 |
5 | Lazio | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 51 |
6 | Bologna | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
7 | Roma | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 45 |
9 | AC Milan | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 44 |
10 | Udinese | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Torino | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Genoa | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Como | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 29 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 26 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 26 |
16 | Lecce | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 25 |
17 | Parma | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
18 | Empoli | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 22 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 19 |
20 | Monza | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |