We say: Inter Milan 2-1 Bologna
Inter have won each of their last eight Coppa Italia contests with Bologna, and even if the Rossoblu are genuine top-six contenders this season, they still cannot topple Italy's most finely-tuned squad. Whatever XI Simone Inzaghi selects, they tend to get the job done.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 65.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 13.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.17%).