Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Inter Milan |
32.25% ( 0.4) | 28.88% ( -0.37) | 38.88% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 44.85% ( 1.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.32% ( 1.3) | 61.68% ( -1.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.5% ( 0.95) | 81.5% ( -0.95) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.82% ( 0.99) | 35.18% ( -1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.07% ( 1.03) | 71.93% ( -1.03) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.18% ( 0.64) | 30.81% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.91% ( 0.74) | 67.09% ( -0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.13% Total : 32.24% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.53) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.87% | 0-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |