The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 |
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
| 20 | Venezia | 38 | -35 | 27 |
We said: Napoli 1-1 Genoa
Napoli are unbeaten in their last 12 home meetings with Genoa in Serie A - winning on eight occasions and keeping a clean sheet in four of the last five - so precedent is certainly on their side. They have not been impregnable on home soil this term, though, and the combination of Blessin's organisation and belief from the fightback against Juve could spur the Grifone on to take a potentially precious point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 79.25%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.7%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Genoa |
79.25% ( -0.02) | 13.34% ( 0.01) | 7.4% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.17% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
