Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 29, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma1 - 1AC Milan
We said: Roma 1-1 AC Milan
Though Milan were within touching distance of victory over Roma at San Siro, they ultimately had to settle for a point, and the sides may finish level again at the Olimpico. Neck-and-neck in the Serie A standings, they are closely matched this season - and the hosts are generally tough to beat on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | AC Milan |
47.43% ( 0.05) | 26.07% ( -0.02) | 26.5% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.94% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.17% ( 0.05) | 53.83% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.71% ( 0.04) | 75.3% ( -0.04) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( 0.05) | 22.69% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.65% ( 0.06) | 56.35% ( -0.06) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.61% | 35.4% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.84% | 72.16% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Roma 47.42%
AC Milan 26.5%
Draw 26.07%
| Roma | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 47.42% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 26.5% |
How you voted: Roma vs AC Milan
Roma
34.8%Draw
28.9%AC Milan
36.3%135
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 11
Roma
1-2
AC Milan
Ibrahimovic (26'), Kessie (57' pen.)
Ibrahimovic (27'), Hernandez (41'), Tomori (65'), Calabria (67'), Giroud (77'), Kessie (81')
Hernandez (66')
Ibrahimovic (27'), Hernandez (41'), Tomori (65'), Calabria (67'), Giroud (77'), Kessie (81')
Hernandez (66')
Feb 28, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Roma
1-2
AC Milan
Oct 26, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 5
AC Milan
3-3
Roma
