Europa League

Europa League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg

May 11, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 0
B. Leverkusen

(Roma win 1-0 on aggregate)

Bove (63')
Mancini (58'), Abraham (76'), Ibanez (89'), Spinazzola (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Andrich (50'), Tah (57'), Diaby (57')

The Match

Match Report

Edoardo Bove scores the only goal of the game as Roma overcome Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 in the first leg of their Europa League semi-final at Stadio Olimpico.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Roma 0-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, May 6 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-2 FC Koln
Friday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
42.07% ( -0)	26.79% ( 0)	31.15% ( 0)

Both teams to score 50.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.62%

54.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.24%

75.76%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.46% (

-0)

25.54% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.6% (

-0)

60.41% (

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.86% (

32.14% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.38% (

68.62% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Roma 42.06%

Bayer Leverkusen 31.15%

Draw 26.78%

Roma	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.34% Total : 42.06%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 2.73% 0-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.15%