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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Udinese logo

Roma
3 - 0
Udinese

Bove (37'), Pellegrini (55'), Abraham (90+1')
Mancini (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pereyra (35'), Success (40'), Ehizibue (45+4'), Thauvin (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Roma
Thursday, April 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Monza
Saturday, April 8 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-0 Udinese

While Roma have failed to win any of the last nine league games in which they have conceded at least once, keeping another clean sheet on Sunday would avert that problem. Even if they make a handful of changes, the capital club can help themselves to a slice of revenge against Udinese as they secure success by the slimmest of margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawUdinese
57.58% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 23.57% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 18.85% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.14% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (0.058 0.06)51.55% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.65% (0.052999999999997 0.05)73.35% (-0.056000000000012 -0.06)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.32% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)17.68% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.69% (0.015999999999998 0.02)48.31% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.47% (0.076000000000001 0.08)41.53% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.98% (0.064999999999998 0.06)78.02% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Roma 57.57%
    Udinese 18.85%
    Draw 23.57%
RomaDrawUdinese
1-0 @ 12.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.37% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.6% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 57.57%
1-1 @ 11.18%
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 18.85%

How you voted: Roma vs Udinese

Roma
68.1%
Draw
15.3%
Udinese
16.7%
72
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 7.45pm
Udinese
4-0
Roma
Udogie (5'), Samardzic (56'), Pereyra (75'), Lovric (82')

Dybala (45')
Mar 13, 2022 5pm
Udinese
1-1
Roma
Molina (15')
Deulofeu (26'), Makengo (86'), Becao (90+2')
Pellegrini (90+4' pen.)
Afena-Gyan (70'), Ibanez (88')
Sep 23, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 14, 2021 11.30am
Roma
3-0
Udinese
Veretout (5', 25' pen.), Pedro (90+3')
Pellegrini (56'), Veretout (71')
Oct 3, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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