Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma3 - 0Udinese
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Roma
Thursday, April 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, April 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Monza
Saturday, April 8 at 11.30am in Serie A
Saturday, April 8 at 11.30am in Serie A
We said: Roma 1-0 Udinese
While Roma have failed to win any of the last nine league games in which they have conceded at least once, keeping another clean sheet on Sunday would avert that problem. Even if they make a handful of changes, the capital club can help themselves to a slice of revenge against Udinese as they secure success by the slimmest of margins. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Udinese |
57.58% ( -0.03) | 23.57% ( -0) | 18.85% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.14% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.45% ( 0.06) | 51.55% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.65% ( 0.05) | 73.35% ( -0.06) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.32% ( 0.01) | 17.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.69% ( 0.02) | 48.31% ( -0.02) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.47% ( 0.08) | 41.53% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.98% ( 0.06) | 78.02% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Roma 57.57%
Udinese 18.85%
Draw 23.57%
| Roma | Draw | Udinese |
| 1-0 @ 12.72% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.76% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 57.57% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 18.85% |
How you voted: Roma vs Udinese
Roma
68.1%Draw
15.3%Udinese
16.7%72
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 5pm
Sep 23, 2021 7.45pm
Roma
1-0
Udinese
Walace (32')
Feb 14, 2021 11.30am
Oct 3, 2020 7.45pm
