Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Udinese |
57.58% ( -0.03) | 23.57% ( -0) | 18.85% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 48.14% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.45% ( 0.06) | 51.55% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.65% ( 0.05) | 73.35% ( -0.06) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.32% ( 0.01) | 17.68% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.69% ( 0.02) | 48.31% ( -0.02) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.47% ( 0.08) | 41.53% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.98% ( 0.06) | 78.02% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Udinese |
1-0 @ 12.72% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.76% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 57.57% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 18.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |