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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Roma logo

Atalanta
3 - 1
Roma

Pasalic (39'), Toloi (74'), Koopmeiners (84')
Piero Gasperini (27'), de Roon (30'), Luis Palomino (86'), Koopmeiners (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pellegrini (83')
Solbakken (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta
Monday, April 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 4-1 Feyenoord
Thursday, April 20 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Atalanta BC 0-1 Roma

Roma's total of nine victories without conceding in 2023 is a record equalled only by city rivals Lazio and champions-elect Napoli. In short, Mourinho's men know how to get the job done. A combination of their resilience and Atalanta's goal woes should see the visitors return to the capital with maximum points, all but ending their hosts' hopes of Champions League qualification. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Roma had a probability of 25.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
49.17% (-1.237 -1.24) 25.65% (0.139 0.14) 25.18% (1.104 1.1)
Both teams to score 50.04% (0.669 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (0.342 0.34)53.13% (-0.34 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.29% (0.291 0.29)74.71% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.37% (-0.393 -0.39)21.63% (0.395 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.25% (-0.605 -0.6)54.75% (0.61 0.61)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.86% (1.171 1.17)36.14% (-1.167 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.08% (1.17 1.17)72.92% (-1.167 -1.17)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 49.16%
    Roma 25.18%
    Draw 25.65%
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
1-0 @ 11.96% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.16% (-0.348 -0.35)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.236 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 49.16%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.123 0.12)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.145 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.2% (0.232 0.23)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.198 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.142 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 25.18%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Roma

Atalanta BC
Draw
Roma
Atalanta BC
17.8%
Draw
15.5%
Roma
66.7%
174
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 5pm
gameweek 7
Roma
0-1
Atalanta
Scalvini (35')
Maehle (23')
Mar 5, 2022 5pm
gameweek 28
Roma
1-0
Atalanta
Abraham (32')
Cristante (9'), Abraham (20'), Mkhitaryan (66'), Kumbulla (69'), Ibanez (85')
Mkhitaryan (90+6')

Malinovskyi (78'), Demiral (86'), de Roon (90+4')
de Roon (90+4')
Dec 18, 2021 2pm
gameweek 18
Atalanta
1-4
Roma
Cristante (45+1' og.)
de Roon (8')
Abraham (1', 82'), Zaniolo (27'), Smalling (72')
Zaniolo (9'), Ibanez (50'), Mancini (74')
Apr 22, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 32
Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Cristante (75')
Calafiori (31'), Villar (47'), Ibanez (90+3')
Ibanez (90+4')
Malinovskyi (26')
Gosens (52')
Gosens (69')
Dec 20, 2020 5pm
gameweek 13
Atalanta
4-1
Roma
Zapata (59'), Gosens (70'), Muriel (72'), Ilicic (85')
Malinovskiy (37'), Romero (39')
Dzeko (3')
Pellegrini (36'), Mirante (57'), Mancini (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli35238455253077
2Inter Milan35228573334074
3Atalanta BCAtalanta35208771314068
4Juventus361616453332064
5Lazio361810859461364
6Roma35189850321863
7Bologna361614654411362
8AC Milan361791058401860
9Fiorentina351781053351859
10Como36139144849-148
11Torino351014113940-144
12Udinese35128153849-1144
13Genoa35912143043-1339
14CagliariCagliari3689193754-1733
15Parma36614164156-1532
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3595213063-3332
17Empoli36513182956-2728
18Lecce3569202457-3327
19VeneziaVenezia35414172849-2126
RMonza3529242563-3815


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