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Serie A
Atalanta logo
Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
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Atalanta
3 - 1
Roma

Pasalic (39'), Toloi (74'), Koopmeiners (84')
Piero Gasperini (27'), de Roon (30'), Luis Palomino (86'), Koopmeiners (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pellegrini (83')
Solbakken (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta
Monday, April 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 4-1 Feyenoord
Thursday, April 20 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Atalanta BC 0-1 Roma

 Roma's total of nine victories without conceding in 2023 is a record equalled only by city rivals Lazio and champions-elect Napoli. In short, Mourinho's men know how to get the job done. A combination of their resilience and Atalanta's goal woes should see the visitors return to the capital with maximum points, all but ending their hosts' hopes of Champions League qualification. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Roma had a probability of 25.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
49.17% (-1.237 -1.24) 25.65% (0.139 0.14) 25.18% (1.104 1.1)
Both teams to score 50.04% (0.669 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (0.342 0.34)53.13% (-0.34 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.29% (0.291 0.29)74.71% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.37% (-0.393 -0.39)21.63% (0.395 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.25% (-0.605 -0.6)54.75% (0.61 0.61)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.86% (1.171 1.17)36.14% (-1.167 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.08% (1.17 1.17)72.92% (-1.167 -1.17)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 49.16%
    Roma 25.18%
    Draw 25.65%
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
1-0 @ 11.96% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.16% (-0.348 -0.35)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.236 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 49.16%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.123 0.12)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.145 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.2% (0.232 0.23)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.198 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.142 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 25.18%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Roma

Atalanta BC
17.8%
Draw
15.5%
Roma
66.7%
174
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 5pm
gameweek 7
Roma
0-1
Atalanta
Scalvini (35')
Maehle (23')
Mar 5, 2022 5pm
gameweek 28
Roma
1-0
Atalanta
Abraham (32')
Cristante (9'), Abraham (20'), Mkhitaryan (66'), Kumbulla (69'), Ibanez (85')
Mkhitaryan (90+6')

Malinovskyi (78'), Demiral (86'), de Roon (90+4')
de Roon (90+4')
Dec 18, 2021 2pm
gameweek 18
Atalanta
1-4
Roma
Cristante (45+1' og.)
de Roon (8')
Abraham (1', 82'), Zaniolo (27'), Smalling (72')
Zaniolo (9'), Ibanez (50'), Mancini (74')
Apr 22, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 32
Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Cristante (75')
Calafiori (31'), Villar (47'), Ibanez (90+3')
Ibanez (90+4')
Malinovskyi (26')
Gosens (52')
Gosens (69')
Dec 20, 2020 5pm
gameweek 13
Atalanta
4-1
Roma
Zapata (59'), Gosens (70'), Muriel (72'), Ilicic (85')
Malinovskiy (37'), Romero (39')
Dzeko (3')
Pellegrini (36'), Mirante (57'), Mancini (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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