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Serie A header desktop

Serie A
Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Fiorentina logo

Salernitana
3 - 3
Fiorentina

Dia (10', 59', 81' pen.)
Daniliuc (49'), Botheim (51'), Bradaric (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gonzalez (36'), Ikone (71'), Biraghi (84')
Mandragora (40'), Castrovilli (43'), Cabral (45'), Martinez (55'), Duncan (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Salernitana
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 5-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 2-2 Fiorentina

 Salernitana are the draw specialists, with seven in their last nine games, and they should be able to extend that against a side with little left to play for in Serie A. With rotation expected, Italiano will hope to see some promising signs from his squad players ahead of an important and exciting few weeks for Fiorentina. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawFiorentina
14.73% (1.296 1.3) 19.89% (1.155 1.16) 65.38% (-2.449 -2.45)
Both teams to score 51.14% (-0.454 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.91% (-2.376 -2.38)43.09% (2.377 2.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51% (-2.392 -2.39)65.49% (2.393 2.39)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.37% (0.378 0.38)41.63% (-0.375 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.88% (0.331 0.33)78.11% (-0.33 -0.33)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.63% (-1.352 -1.35)12.37% (1.355 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.77% (-2.902 -2.9)38.23% (2.903 2.9)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 14.73%
    Fiorentina 65.37%
    Draw 19.89%
SalernitanaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 4.51% (0.499 0.5)
2-1 @ 4.13% (0.293 0.29)
2-0 @ 1.98% (0.237 0.24)
3-2 @ 1.26% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.21% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 14.73%
1-1 @ 9.43% (0.578 0.58)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.522 0.52)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 19.89%
0-2 @ 11.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 10.76% (0.55 0.55)
1-2 @ 9.86% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 7.83% (-0.443 -0.44)
1-3 @ 6.87% (-0.313 -0.31)
0-4 @ 4.09% (-0.47 -0.47)
1-4 @ 3.59% (-0.372 -0.37)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-5 @ 1.71% (-0.303 -0.3)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-5 @ 1.5% (-0.247 -0.25)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 65.37%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Fiorentina

Salernitana
31.0%
Draw
31.0%
Fiorentina
37.9%
58
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 14
Fiorentina
2-1
Salernitana
Bonaventura (15'), Jovic (81')
Dia (55')
Radovanovic (90+4')
Apr 24, 2022 11.30am
gameweek 34
Salernitana
2-1
Fiorentina
Djuric (9'), Bonazzoli (79')
Gyomber (22')
Saponara (64')
Milenkovic (82')
Dec 11, 2021 2pm
gameweek 17
Fiorentina
4-0
Salernitana
Bonaventura (31'), Vlahovic (51', 84'), Maleh (90')
Milenkovic (11')

Kastanos (20')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


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