We said: Roma 0-1 Inter Milan
With seven wins and six losses to their name on the road this season - while conceding plenty of goals in the process - Inter have not travelled well throughout this Serie A season.
However, they are apparently running into form at just the right moment. As Roma rarely concede much at the Olimpico, a single goal could therefore separate the sides on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Roma had a probability of 25.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Roma win it was 1-0 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.23) 
