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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 18, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Bologna logo

Salernitana
2 - 2
Bologna

Pirola (7'), Dia (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ferguson (11'), Lykogiannis (73')
Orsolini (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Salernitana
Monday, March 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Lazio
Saturday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 0-1 Bologna

With goals likely to be thin on the ground in Salerno, a single strike could decide the points' destiny on Saturday evening: both teams are fairly lightweight up front. Compared to Paulo Sousa's early impact at the Arechi, Bologna are further along in their development under Thiago Motta so can get back on the winning trail at their hosts' expense. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
SalernitanaDrawBologna
31.64% (-0.993 -0.99) 27.07% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 41.29% (1.053 1.05)
Both teams to score 49.84% (-0.144 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.66% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)55.35% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.45% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)76.56% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.72% (-0.706 -0.71)32.29% (0.711 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (-0.808 -0.81)68.79% (0.81200000000001 0.81)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (0.554 0.55)26.39% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45% (0.73 0.73)61.55% (-0.724 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 31.64%
    Bologna 41.29%
    Draw 27.07%
SalernitanaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 9.63% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-0 @ 5.45% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.64%
1-1 @ 12.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.52% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 11.35% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.56% (0.244 0.24)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.36% (0.159 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.055 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 41.29%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Bologna

Salernitana
Draw
Bologna
Salernitana
25.8%
Draw
12.9%
Bologna
61.3%
31
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 26, 2022 2.05pm
Aug 22, 2021 5.30pm
Bologna
3-2
Salernitana
De Silvestri (59', 77'), Arnautovic (75')
Soriano (41'), Schouten (55'), Bonifazi (87'), Sansone (90+3')
Soriano (50'), Schouten (89')
Bonazzoli (52' pen.), Coulibaly (70')
Strandberg (33'), Jaroszynski (79')
Strandberg (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli36239457273078
2Inter Milan36238575334277
3Atalanta BCAtalanta36218773324171
4Juventus361616453332064
5Lazio361810859461364
6Roma36189951341763
7Bologna361614654411362
8AC Milan361791058401860
9Fiorentina361781154371759
10Como36139144849-148
11Torino361014123942-344
12Udinese36128163951-1244
13Genoa36913143245-1340
14CagliariCagliari3689193754-1733
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3696213164-3333
16Parma36614164156-1532
17VeneziaVenezia36514173050-2029
18Empoli36513182956-2728
19Lecce36610202558-3328
RMonza3639242764-3718


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