Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan1 - 1Salernitana
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spurs 0-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, March 8 at 8.10pm in Champions League
Wednesday, March 8 at 8.10pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-0 Salernitana
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: AC Milan 2-0 Salernitana
Milan have claimed three straight wins at home in all competitions without conceding a goal and are likely to get another routine win over Salernitana, having had an extra day to recuperate following midweek exertions in Europe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 70.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.34%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
70.62% ( -0.19) | 18.42% ( 0.1) | 10.95% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 44.8% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.39% ( -0.21) | 45.61% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.07% ( -0.2) | 67.93% ( 0.2) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.34% ( -0.11) | 11.66% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.28% ( -0.24) | 36.72% ( 0.23) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.72% ( 0.02) | 49.28% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.84% ( 0.01) | 84.15% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
AC Milan 70.6%
Salernitana 10.95%
Draw 18.42%
| AC Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
| 2-0 @ 13.26% 1-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 70.6% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.32% ( 0)Other @ 0.62% Total : 18.42% | 0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.36% Total : 10.95% |
How you voted: AC Milan vs Salernitana
AC Milan
82.9%Draw
12.5%Salernitana
4.6%152
Form Guide
