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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Salernitana

AC Milan
1 - 1
Salernitana

Giroud (45+1')
Giroud (59'), Tomori (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dia (61')
Sambia (85'), Coulibaly (89'), Dia (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 0-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, March 8 at 8.10pm in Champions League

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Salernitana

Milan have claimed three straight wins at home in all competitions without conceding a goal and are likely to get another routine win over Salernitana, having had an extra day to recuperate following midweek exertions in Europe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 70.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.95%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.34%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawSalernitana
70.62% (-0.187 -0.19) 18.42% (0.099 0.1) 10.95% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 44.8% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.39% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)45.61% (0.209 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.07% (-0.201 -0.2)67.93% (0.19800000000001 0.2)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.34% (-0.113 -0.11)11.66% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.28% (-0.238 -0.24)36.72% (0.234 0.23)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.72% (0.021999999999998 0.02)49.28% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.84% (0.013 0.01)84.15% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 70.6%
    Salernitana 10.95%
    Draw 18.42%
AC MilanDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 13.26%
1-0 @ 12.34% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 9.5% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.11% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.2% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 70.6%
1-1 @ 8.74% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 18.42%
0-1 @ 4.07% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.09% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.44% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 10.95%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Salernitana

AC Milan
82.9%
Draw
12.5%
Salernitana
4.6%
152
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2023 11.30am
Feb 19, 2022 7.45pm
Salernitana
2-2
AC Milan
Bonazzoli (29'), Djuric (72')
Ederson (52'), Djuric (72')
Messias (5'), Rebic (77')
Bennacer (35'), Giroud (60'), Rebic (70'), Romagnoli (83')
Dec 4, 2021 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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