Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 70.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.34%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
70.62% ( -0.19) | 18.42% ( 0.1) | 10.95% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 44.8% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.39% ( -0.21) | 45.61% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.07% ( -0.2) | 67.93% ( 0.2) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.34% ( -0.11) | 11.66% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.28% ( -0.24) | 36.72% ( 0.23) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.72% ( 0.02) | 49.28% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.84% ( 0.01) | 84.15% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
2-0 @ 13.26% 1-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 70.6% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.32% ( 0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 18.42% | 0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.36% Total : 10.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |